So here we go. Glacc and I created this thing as an extension of the discussions we have on and off the message boards for our leagues. I've been talking to Glacc and others of you about the draft for our football league so I thought a good first post would be a draft analysis. Let's see how this goes:

Round 1
1.	Chris Johnson	Death Roe
2.	Adrian Peterson	redhypocycloid
3.	Maurice Jones-Drew	Low Country Terps
4.	Ray Rice	bluehypocycloid
5.	Frank Gore	McKinney Maulers
6.	Michael Turner	First Down Sydrome
7.	Andre Johnson	Anchor Babies
8.	Drew Brees	TheYellowDart
9.	Ryan Mathews	Ribs-N-Whiskey
10.	Steven Jackson	G9s
11.	Aaron Rodgers	Chris Roe is Great
12.	Shonn Greene	Hamski

The first five picks here seem to be the consensus. My strategy this season was basically this: Try and grab a top tier running back in round 1 and then go WR WR WR for the next 3 and then at round 5 start loading up on RB's. Simple enough. My theory was the RB's get shallow fast so this season it will be important to get some top tier wide receivers (2 if i could) and gamble that I could find value in the middle rounds at RB while waiting on a QB and a loaded class of tight ends.

Once i got the first pick I knew I was getting CJ or AP and then I had to figure out what WR's I thought I wanted at the turn. As for the round itself my only real questions are Turner over Andre Johnson (in a PPR league Andre Johnson could be more valuable than all but the top 5 RB's), Ryan Mathews (he was ranked right in there though) and Shonne Green (good O-line but bad offense). You could argue that Randy Moss is a better pick than either of those guys and Moss is ranked as the top receiver in some circles; which leads us to...

Round 2
1.	Randy Moss	Hamski
2.	Calvin Johnson	Chris Roe is Great
3.	Peyton Manning	G9s
4.	Rashard Mendenhall	Ribs-N-Whiskey
5.	Reggie Wayne	TheYellowDart
6.	DeAngelo Williams	Anchor Babies
7.	Miles Austin	First Down Syndrome
8.	Matt Schaub	McKinney Maulers
9.	Roddy White	bluehypocycloid
10.	Brandon Marshall	Low Country Terps
11.	Ryan Grant	redhypocycloid
12.	Larry Fitzgerald	Death Roe

So there goes Moss. Guess it doesn't matter what order your picks come off the board if you're picking 12 or 13. Moss in my opinion slipped to 12 but again so far the top ranked players are coming off the board generally where they should. Dave was in a tough position here. If he waited another round all the 2 tier RB's were probably going to be gone (and they were). There's an argument to be made that Ced Benson is a better reach here. DeAngelo Williams can go off week to week but so can The Daily Show. My queue in this round looked like this (In the order i wanted them): Roddy White, Greg Jennings, Larry Fitzgerald, Steve Smith (Car). Even though there were some very good RB 2's available still I was sticking to my strategy hoping I could load up on potential RB's later and was specifically targeting Fred Jackson (slipping because of his injury - Who i got), Donald Brown, Arian Foster (I was praying no one would reach for him before 5 - got him too) Forte in round 5 or later (Scott got him 5 places before me in round 6) and Bradshaw really late. Seeing White go didn't surprise since that's song's boy. My main target as a WR1 this season was Jennings (had a good year in 2009 but only had 4 touchdowns on a very good offense) and whoever else slipped. It happened that the QB situation in Ariz scared people away from Fitzgerald and I was happy to take him at 23.

(Side note about Fitzgerald: Since when does a WR need a top notch QB to be a productive fantasy wifeout? Megatron has been picked in the top 15 or so every season with an unproven QB since he got into the league. Andre Johnson still put numbers up while Rosenfels was in and Shaub was out. I think the standard is different for Fitz because he had a very good QB last season and now he's getting a crappy one. I think when there's elite talent you can ignore, to some degree, the mitigating factors. You don't take him as a top 5 receiver but you don't pass him up at 23 either. I also don't believe that Boldin's departure will have an affect on his numbers all that much. Teams have been rolling safeties over with or without Boldin in the lineup. If anything he'll get more red zone looks. He's not catching 97 balls again but I'm betting he's a top 7 fantasy wideout)

1.	Greg Jennings	Death Roe
2.	Tom Brady	redhypocycloid
3.	Pierre Thomas	Low Country Terps
4.	Cedric Benson	bluehypocycloid
5.	Steve Smith	McKinney Maulers
6.	Tony Romo	First Down Syndrome
7.	Beanie Wells	Anchor Babies
8.	Dallas Clark	TheYellowDart
9.	Jahvid Best	Ribs-N-Whiskey
10.	Marques Colston	G9s
11.	Jamaal Charles	Chris Roe is Great
12.	DeSean Jackson	Hamski

This round we start to see strategies falling apart. Todd's autodraft of Thomas with Benson and Charles on the board stands out. Steve Smith of the Giants going before the Carolina version is a bit of a shock and I believe will be proven a mistake. Dallas Clark should definitely be the first TE of the board but round three for a loaded position seems like a stretch (as does the head-scratcher of taking a defense in round 4).

Steal of the round: Jamaal Charles, I'm not scared by T. Jones at all. If anything it'll help insure that Charles will be healthy come fantasy playoff time.
Reach of the round: No matter how good Dallas Clark is the TE's psotion is loaded this year and there are values to be had in the later rounds.

Round 4
1.	LeSean McCoy	Hamski
2.	Anquan Boldin	Chris Roe is Great
3.	Percy Harvin	G9s
4.	Steve Smith	Ribs-N-Whiskey
5.	New York	TheYellowDart
6.	Antonio Gates	Anchor Babies
7.	Jonathan Stewart	First Down Syndrome
8.	Chad Ochocinco	McKinney Maulers
9.	Brett Favre	bluehypocycloid
10.	Ronnie Brown	Low Country Terps
11.	Wes Welker	redhypocycloid
12.	Michael Crabtree	Death Roe

Randy's eagle onslaught continues at the top of this one. Mark broke my heart with his Welker pick as I was all ready to take Welker / Crabtree here but in the end my strategy should have been what ended up happening. Foster in round 5 is right at his ADP. So thanks Laird. I would have sunk myself with no clear RB2. There ended being so much value in WR's later it would have been a huge mistake for me to take 4 WR's in a row and pass up a clear cut #1 RB in a top of the league offense.

Steal of the Round: Steve Smith, Carolina version. He's a WR1 this season with a better QB. He'll probably have twice the points that the other one has.
Reach of the round: A DEFENSE!? One without its best player no less. All the general research on Defenses and Kickers say that the difference between good ones and average ones (which you can always get given that there's 32 teams and we only field 12 each week with no one carrying more than one) is negligible over a full season. I hate to eat into my competitive advantage but there you have it. I'm never taking a DEF or Kicker before the last rounds.

1.	Arian Foster	Death Roe
2.	Hines Ward	redhypocycloid
3.	Philip Rivers	Low Country Terps
4.	Jermichael Finley	bluehypocycloid
5.	Vernon Davis	McKinney Maulers
6.	Dwayne Bowe	First Down Syndrome
7.	Hakeem Nicks	Anchor Babies
8.	Joseph Addai	TheYellowDart
9.	Mike Sims-Walker	Ribs-N-Whiskey
10.	Knowshon Moreno	G9s
11.	Felix Jones	Chris Roe is Great
12.	Jeremy Maclin	Hamski

So i snagged Foster here. It was very close between Forte (who I think rebounds) and Foster. But I went with the better offense. Song got his man in Finley. Not too big a reach for a TE that projects as the #2 at his position but way too much for a guy who'll miss half the season with injury.

Steal of the Round: Arian Foster, he's a top 5 back.
Reach of the Round: Jermichael Finley, the hype cost Mike a chance at a legit WR2 (now he's being forced to start Wallace as a 2 and Evans?! as a 3

Round 6
1.	Tony Gonzalez	Hamski
2.	Jason Witten	Chris Roe is Great
3.	Brent Celek	G9s
4.	Pierre Garcon	Ribs-N-Whiskey
5.	Donald Driver	TheYellowDart
6.	Malcom Floyd	Anchor Babies
7.	Matt Forte	First Down Syndrome
8.	Ricky Williams	McKinney Maulers
9.	Mike Wallace	bluehypocycloid
10.	Santana Moss	Low Country Terps
11.	Terrell Owens	redhypocycloid
12.	Johnny Knox	Death Roe

The run on TE happens in this round. I had my sights set on Zach Miller so I wasn't worried. This is where I wanted to get a QB and TE but none of the TE's I was targeting were gone so i went with my favorite break out receiver in Johny Knox. He seems to have the best chemistry with Cutler and Martz will always find a way to get the ball in the hands of his most talented players (Knox and Forte). Also, the bears open against the league's worst defense.

Steal of the Round: I love Forte here. I would have taken him if Scott hadn't. The new offense could hurt him early but he should be back to form from 2 years ago.
Reach of the Round: Mike Wallace, the only reason I can see taking him this early is that we have steelers fans that would reach to get him. Wallace is a popular sleeper and might produce once they get a QB who can go down field but he's not going to sneak up on anyone this season. He has bust written all over him.

1.	Jay Cutler	Death Roe
2.	Pittsburgh	redhypocycloid
3.	T.J. Houshmandzadeh	Low Country Terps
4.	Clinton Portis	bluehypocycloid
5.	New Orleans	McKinney Maulers
6.	C.J. Spiller	First Down Syndrome
7.	Kevin Kolb	Anchor Babies
8.	Marion Barber	TheYellowDart
9.	Eli Manning	Ribs-N-Whiskey
10.	Ahmad Bradshaw	G9s
11.	Devin Aromashodu	Chris Roe is Great
12.	Joe Flacco	Hamski

I ended up taking the best QB on the board here despite my misgivings about him. He's not going to be fun to own but his ceiling seems to be higher than Eli or Flacco. I never once thought about taking Kolb as I want to root for him to fail all year.

Reach(es) of the round: Any Defense and Clinton Portis (nuff said)
Steal of the Round:Ahmad Bradshaw, clearly the more talented back with less of an injury risk than jacobs. He's a solid RB2/3

Rounds 8-15

Some highlights: Everyone I picked and Carnell Williams in round 10. No one likes to draft Cadillac but he's a clear #1 on a team that going to run a lot. Ben ROEthlesberger. Could easily end up the steal of the draft.
Some lowlights: Mark Snachez? Granted he hasn't looked any better than Cutler I think the jets are going to have a hard time winning 8 game with this clown as their QB. You could also argue against drafting a backup QB at all given that there will always be good backups available week to week. Golden tate a #5 receiver on Seattle. Sweet.

Good luck this season everyone (Especially you Randy in Week 1 when the hammer comes down on your season from the jump.)

- ROE